Black Friday Crack Addicts
Friday, December 7th, 2007Big-Box retailers are all on crack. They
can’t stop slashing prices. It’s the worst kind of addiction. The initial Black Friday sales results show high revenue from the Thanksgiving weekend, but a steep decline in the days following. Target avoided deep discounts – and paid the price. They are unlikely to meet 4th quarter expectations.The main problem is simple: Retailers have trained shoppers (and themselves) to rely on discounted prices. A couple examples:
- Macy’s enjoyed strong sales over the weekend, but have struggled since. My family received at least 6 different discount cards and coupons from Macy’s prior to Thanksgiving, not to mention the daily free standing inserts and newspaper inserts. I haven’t paid full retail in a Macy’s store EVER.
- Wal-Mart is so hooked on discounts they’re re-doing their Black Friday promotions – in December! This is insane.
At the same time, upscale shoppers are spending like there’s no tomorrow – and paying full retail. It’s the only growing part of the retail economy.OK, so the economy and consumer confidence have a lot to do with this situation. People are buying “paper towels and Fruit Loops”, according to Reuters, but the retailers are making the situation worse for themselves. The only factor shoppers seem to be weighing in making their shopping choices is the discount %.Going cold turkey will be impossible, but retailers need to reduce their dependence on discounting to entice shoppers. They need to return to the fundamentals of good value for money, appealing merchandise and a pleasant shopping experience.Crack kills. So does discounting.
Black Friday is just around the corner and great deals will be everywhere. This is great for consumers, but may not be that great for businesses. Price promotions can be a good way for businesses to attract new customers. They can be habit forming, though – for both the businesses and the customers. Therein lies the danger. Regular discounting becomes a crutch for salespeople and trains customers to delay purchasing.Just a few years ago, 4th quarter retail sales were skewed toward the first 2-3 weeks of December. Now, the majority of 4th quarter retail revenue takes place on Black Friday. A retailer’s quarter can be made or broken on the strength of their discount offers. Consumers are so hyped about the sales that they troll the Internet searching for illicit glimpses of the holiday circulars. A friend in the retail clothing business once told me, “Only fools pay retail.”The problem for businesses is simple: price promotions reduce revenue. The occasional loss leader or coupon sale can lead consumers to purchase other items at full price – justifying the cost of the coupon. But frequent discounting allows consumers to enjoy all of the benefits of a firm’s goods and services without paying full rate. And it can be addictive.Successful retailers and product marketers know that premium products can, and do, justify their pricing. The